Week 8 Buy’s and Sell’s

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Last Week’s results:

Buy’s:

  1. Blake Bortles
  2. Tyrod Taylor
  3. Amari Cooper

Sell’s:

  1. Demaryius Thomas
  2. Mike Gillislee & NE backfield all together
  3. Tyrell Williams

Week 8 Buy’s

Buy: Blake Bortles

I was not thrilled recommending Bortles last week, but it worked out well as the Jags dismantled the Colts in week 7.  I am recommending Bortles again.  Following their bye in week 8, the Jags do not have the most imposing schedule. At home against the Bengals, then the Chargers.  As long as their defense and their run game stays a strength, I believe Bortles will continue to deliver low QB1 type of numbers.  In fact according to @GrahamBarfield, the Jags are on pace to rush 486 times.  The most rushing attempts since 2011.  You could be doing worse, especially during these bye weeks.
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Buy: Jay Ajayi

I’m waiting Jay… Last year you had THREE games that you ran for over 200 yards.  Through week 7, Ajayi is 7th of all running backs with 442 yards rushing.  Matt Moore entered the game yesterday due to Jay Cutler getting hurt.  Word is out on how long Cutler will be missed, but Matt Moore is a very competent back up quarterback leading his team to a victory and throwing two touchdowns.  The Dolphins have the weapons to be a successful offense in the NFL.  One of Miami’s issues is the fact that the 34 year old Cutler doesn’t have the arm he once did, nor is he mobile.  Cutler is only averaging 5.5 yards per attempt, and doesn’t pose a huge threat to beat you deep.  He is not the same gun slinger that used to throw with reckless abandon.  The Dolphins face Baltimore on Thursday night, and it sounds like Cutler will miss it.  I like the Dolphins chances of getting Ajayi going against the Ravens as they have given up the most yards to opposing running backs (907 yards).  Ajayi faces a softer strength of schedule against the run the rest of the way.  Try to acquire Ajayi because I see touchdown regression (8 TD’s in 16′) coming as he has yet to see the endzone in 17′.

Buy: Julio Jones

Coming into week 7, Cooper Kupp had more fantasy points than Julio Jones.  Let that sink in.  The Falcons offense looks like they are stuck in neutral.  All the talent in the world but lacking the explosive plays we saw last year. This was the week the Falcons offense was supposed to get back on track.  It didn’t happen.  Going into Sunday night, the Patriots had given up the 2nd most receiving yards in the NFL, giving up over 300 plus yards to 6 straight quarterbacks.  For the past month we have heard from offensive coordinator, Steve Sarkishian that the Falcons were determined to feed Julio Jones the ball.  Julio is gathering the targets (19th in NFL) but isn’t gaining a ton of production from them.  Not to mention, Matt Ryan has been missing some throws.  Many more missed connections than last year.  Losing Kyle Shanahan as offensive coordinator really is causing this offense to sputter.  At this time try and buy Julio Jones.  See if the owner is getting frustrated with his production.  It worked for the people that acquired Amari Cooper before his explosion last Thursday night!  Betting on known talent and production that we have seen from Julio in previous seasons.  A breakout is coming.  Hopefully sooner rather than later…

Week 8 Sell’s

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Sell: A.J. Green

To this point A.J. Green has delivered great fantasy numbers 35/545/3 TD.  I wouldn’t be comfortable expecting those numbers the rest of the season.  His schedule is brutal the rest of the season.  Outside of games against the Colts (wk 8) and Titans (wk 10), the Bengals will face off against top rated pass defenses: JAC, DEN, PIT, DET, CLE, CHI, and BAL.  Those defenses listed are top 16 in the NFL in least amount of receiving yards given up.  The play calling in Cincinnati has been confusing.  The offensive line for the Bengals is a major concern (19 sacks on Dalton), and it could be one of the main factors at why this offense hasn’t produced the numbers we saw last year.  If Cinci can find a way to get their running game going, A.J. may continue putting up good numbers the rest of the season, but against that schedule I have my doubts.  In that case I am selling Green following their week 8 match up against the Colts.

Sell: Andy Dalton

For all the reasons listed above with A.J. Green, I am on board with selling Dalton as well.  The Steelers in week 7 bottled up Green, so Dalton targeted Brandon LaFell a team leading 7 times.  Yuck.  With teams being able to bracket their coverage and key on Green; Dalton doesn’t have any other weapons to throw it to.  This is why I want them to run the ball, over and over and over and over.  They have 2 legit running backs in Bernard & Mixon.  I liked their offense much more when Hue Jackson was calling the plays 2 years ago.

Sell: Ty Montgomery

Have we seen the changing of the guard in Green Bay?  I really like Ty Montgomery as a player in this offense.  As long as that offense is run by Aaron Rodgers.  With Brett Hundley in at quarterback we should expect the Packers to lean more on the running game.  The Packers have a bye week in week 8 to work on their offense.  I wouldn’t jump ship on Davante Adams or Jordy quite yet, but I would on Montgomery.  He is more of a pass catching (converted wide receiver) back then a true between the tackles runner.  Rookie Aaron Jones specializes in running the ball and as we saw against the Saints he out touched Montgomery 17:4.  With favorable rushing defensive match ups looming for the Packers (BAL, PIT, CHI, TB), look for Aaron Jones to take control of this backfield.

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My name is John Walter and I have been playing fantasy football for 10 years. I am married to my amazing wife Rachel and we have 2 awesome dogs. In real life, I am a personal trainer and I train teenage athletes here in Kansas City (GO CHIEFS!). I enjoy watching football and film and grading athletic talent. Feel free to message me any questions you have about football, I would love to help with roster decisions.