Week 7 Buy’s and Sell’s

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Not very often do we see mid season trades in the NFL. Adrian Peterson being sent to the Saints for a conditional pick was a shocker. Week 6 showed that this trade could definitely work for both teams as both Ingram and AP had monster weeks. This frees up space in the Saints backfield so Mark Ingram and rookie Alvin Kamara can see more touches. At the same time, this offers the Cardinals more stability in their backfield as AP needs volume to run the ball, but will come out on most passing situations. So far this year they have had zero run game success (before Sunday against the Bucs, the Cardinals were dead last in rushing yards per game). This will help keep defenses honest and may keep Carson Palmer standing the rest of the season.

Last week’s results:

Buy’s
1. Hunter Henry
2. Ed Dickson
3. David Njoku

Sell’s
1. Sammy Watkins
2. Eric Ebron
3. Ben Roethlisberger

Last week I gave three tight ends to try and target. This week I’m going with a couple quarterbacks since the best quarterback in the NFL just broke his collarbone. Try targeting these guys if you need to fill a hole at quarterback. Followed by why I am buying Amari Cooper.

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Buy: Tyrod Taylor

The Bills are coming out of their bye week 3-2 and ready to compete in the suddenly competitive AFC East division. The Bills next two games are at home against Tampa Bay and Oakland. Both teams that are not great defending the pass (bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed). The Bills have a good defense and a good run game. They are lacking wide receiver talent out wide and Charles Clay, but they still have LeSean McCoy and Taylor still scores plenty with his legs (121 yds rushing). Grab Taylor if you are in a pinch right now.

Buy: Blake Bortles

I know, you probably just choked. This one sort of pains me to recommend, but is mainly driven by strength of schedule. In week 7 the Jags play at Indianapolis. A team that gives up passing yards in bunches (3rd most yards). Trust me, he will still be the same ol’ Bortles at times (4 INT). I’m not saying he needs to be your final answer the rest of the season, but there are multiple quarterbacks injured, and many ineffective options out there. Having a guy like Bortles can offer a decent floor next week as the Colts just got done giving up 336 yards to San Francisco last week. In fact, the Colts have allowed 3 opposing quarterbacks to throw for over 300 yards this year. If you are stuck with a quarterback injured, or on a bye week (Stafford & D. Watson) try selling off a cheap player on your roster and hope Bortles can take advantage of a beatable defense.

Buy: Amari Cooper

Hopefully, the Raiders game yesterday is proof that Amari Cooper is coming out of his production drought. He had 5 catches (most since week 1) with zero drops. He has faced tough opponents so far this year and has missed his starting quarterback a couple weeks. This will be the only time you can get the uber talented Cooper at a discount from an owner that may be ready to jump ship. Before you yell how much you think Crabtree is better, I know. He has scored many more points than Cooper has this year (252/4 TD’s compared to Cooper’s pedestrian 118/1 TD). So much so that there is no way you can get Crabtree at a discount like you can for Cooper. Call it the optimist in me, but I can’t help but think we will eventually see the Cooper we are used to seeing the last two years (career 168 receptions for 2341 yards and 12 touchdowns).

Sell: Demaryius Thomas

Unfortunately the injury bug is hitting the Denver Broncos. Demariyus Thomas has looked banged up nearly every week this year. I feel like every week I am seeing Thomas being taken to the locker room for evaluation. I give him credit that he returns to the field every week, and plays through the pain. I am only concerned that he will have to miss time at some point as the Broncos have already had their bye week and he will not be able to enjoy a free rest week. The 8 year pro has been hindered by soft tissue injuries, and that is contributing to his lack of production this year. Not including yesterdays games, Thomas has scored less fantasy points than the likes of Brandon Coleman (NO), Kenny Stills (MIA), and Adam Humphries (Tampa). He still has to face division foes Kansas City twice this year (hasn’t scored against them since 2014), Chargers once (only had 60 yds receiving earlier this year), and Oakland once (only had 11 yds receiving earlier this year). Not to mention the next 3 games will be on the road where Siemien doesn’t play as well. I am not doubting Thomas’ talent, he has been solid his whole career and is a tough dude. I am concerned these minor injuries will pile up and he will end up missing some time. You may be able to sell Thomas on name value.

Sell: New England Patriots Backfield, but mainly Mike Gillislee

Unless you’re a soothsayer, I would suggest selling this messy backfield. I believe this rotation will only get muddier once Rex Burkhead comes back from his rib injury.  I believe Burkhead and Dion Lewis AND James White will all be in rotation.  Those three backs offer the Patriots backfield much more flexibility than Gillislee does.  He may still be the goaline back, but I don’t see him being a bell cow back. Belichick does not mess around. If you fumble, you sit on the bench. That was the case week 6 when Mike Gillislee fumbled and never saw the field again. Dion Lewis picked up the slack seeing 43% of the snaps and touching the ball 11 times. Last year, fantasy owners could rely on the fact that LeGarrette Blount would be the only one to touch the ball on goal to go situations.  It is difficult to predict game flow in the NFL week to week. Starting a New England running back right now is risky. With that being said, I would hold on to Burkhead, Lewis, and White in that order.

Sell: Tyrell Williams

The Gazelle was a fantasy darling last year coming in relief for injured Keenan Allen. Tyrell has not been seeing anywhere near that production so far this year. You can’t deny his talent, but Philip Rivers is not targeting Williams. The last 2 weeks, Tyrell has a combined 49 yards on 4 targets (29 targets on the season). With Denver’s lock down corners coming into town this week, I wouldn’t expect anything different in week 7. To make things even more concerning, rookie wide receiver Mike Williams has been inserted into the offense further muddling the target distribution.

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My name is John Walter and I have been playing fantasy football for 10 years. I am married to my amazing wife Rachel and we have 2 awesome dogs. In real life, I am a personal trainer and I train teenage athletes here in Kansas City (GO CHIEFS!). I enjoy watching football and film and grading athletic talent. Feel free to message me any questions you have about football, I would love to help with roster decisions.